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Weekly ETF Monitor for week ending 28 February 2020

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Mar 03, 2020

This week's highlights Risk-off sentiment dominated last week with equity markets entering correction territory across the globe. Bearish ETFs (BBUS, BBOZ and BEAR) were by far the top performing funds for the week. Geared funds aside, the biggest declines were seen across a range of sectors, including gold miners (MNRS), energy (FUEL), real estate (REIT) and banks (BNKS). Precious metals were mixed. Gold reached its highest level in seven years, before retreating later in the week. Palladium (ETPMPD) once again reached new all-time highs. Oil saw big declines, with OOO dropping 16.2% for the week. The Australian dollar fell below US65c for the first time since the GFC, driving currency ETFs higher. BetaShares Euro ETF (EEU) and ETFS Enhanced USD Cash ETF (ZUSD) were amongst the week’s top performers. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $381m, while outflows totalled $86m. BetaShares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA) and ETFS Physical Gold (GOLD) saw the largest inflows for the week as investors looked for safe-haven assets. iShares Global 100 ETF (IOO) and BetaShares S&P/ASX 200 Resources Sector ETF (QRE) saw the bulk of the week’s outflows. VAS was the most traded fund last week, followed by AAA. GOLD and BBOZ saw above average volumes. ETFS FANG+ ETF (FANG) commenced trading this week. FANG offers exposure to an equally-weighted portfolio of ten of the world’s top innovators across today’s tech and internet/media companies.

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The economic return of the Indian elephant

Mar 03, 2020

What drove India’s performance in 2019 and its outlook for 2020 Investors are increasingly seeing India as a high potential growth market, but it under-performed expectations in 2019. The country continues to see positive structural and economic reforms, leading to the question, what happened and does this change India’s prospects? Read the full paper here. Three drivers of negative performance in 2019 Global markets were generally affected by a range of events across 2019, including the US/China trade war, slowing growth and fear of recession. Beyond this, there were three key drivers behind India’s negative performance. 1. Non-banking financial companies (NBFC) crisis In the last quarter of 2018, an NBFC company called Infrastructure Leasing & Finance Services (IL &FS) defaulted on multiple loans and covenants across India. As a result, banks and mutual funds stopped lending to NBFCs which triggered a liquidity and confidence issue across India which dragged on performance, particularly in early 2019. 2. Government election Though Narendra Modi returned to power in the government election, the focus was on re-election rather than continued structural economic growth in the lead-up to polls. 3. Kashmir Hostilities between India and Pakistan escalated, with the volatility also felt in the economy. These drivers in turn affected manufacturing, core-sector production and consumer and capital goods production. India’s automobile and real estate sectors were also hard-hit. India’s future prospects The Indian government and Reserve Bank of India (RBI) implemented two key measures to resolve the problems of 2019. These included: > Five rate cuts by the RBI to 5.15%. > A corporate tax cut from 30% to 22%. India’s outlook for 2020 is further supported by factors such as low inflation, ongoing reforms and political stability. As such, the prospects remain positive and it is anticipated to continue to benefit from overarching themes across Asia such as the growth of the middle-class. You can access India through the ETFS-NAM India Nifty 50 ETF (ASX Code: NDIA). For more information on ETFS-NAM India Nifty 50 ETF, visit the NDIA product page.

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Weekly ETF Monitor for week ending 21 February 2020

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Feb 24, 2020

This week's highlights Chinese stocks rebounded last week on the back of tough measures to contain the coronavirus outbreak and stimulate economic activity. CNEW and CETF were both amongst the top performing ETFs for the week. Other Asian markets including South Korea and Japan suffered as outbreaks spread; IKO, UBP, IJP, IAA, UBJ and ASIA were all amongst the week’s poorest performers. Global technology stocks (TECH) also suffered on global growth and supply-chain concerns. Precious metals all gained with haven assets in demand. GOLD returned 5.3% for the week, while palladium (ETPMPD) added 10.8% and once again touched new all-time highs. Gold mining ETFs (GDX and MNRS) were the top performing equity funds for the week. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $333m, while outflows totalled $43m. Russell Australian Responsible Investment ETF (RARI) saw the largest inflows for the week, followed by a range of global equity funds (ETHI, IEM, QUAL and NDQ). Domestic equities (IOZ), fixed income (QPON, IAF and AAA) and gold (GOLD) also saw strong flows. BetaShares FTSE RAFI Australia 200 ETF (QOZ) saw the bulk of the week’s outflows. RARI was the most traded fund last week, reflecting its flows, followed by VAS, AAA and STW. GOLD and IEM saw above average volumes. ETFS S&P Biotech ETF (CURE) returned 1.5% last week and is up 7.6% year-to-date. CURE provides broad exposure to the U.S. biotechnology sector including a number of companies actively involved in developing drugs and vaccines to combat the coronavirus.

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Weekly ETF Monitor for week ending 14 February 2020

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Feb 18, 2020

This week's highlights Global markets maintained their recent highs last week. Precious metal palladium was the best performer over the week, with ETFS Physical Palladium (ETPMPD) returning 6.5%. Australian financials and property ETFs were also amongst the best performers. SPDR S&P/ASX 200 Financials ex A-REITS Fund (OZF) was up 3.6%, BetaShares S&P/ASX 200 Financials Sector ETF (QFN) up 3.6% and VanEck Vectors FTSE International Property (Hedged) ETF (REIT) up 2.7%. The worst performers over the week were Japanese equity based ETFs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (IJP) was down 2.1% and UBS IQ MSCI Japan Ethical ETF (UBJ) also down 2%. Looking at flows for the week. Inflows totalled A$311 million whilst outflows were A$78 million. The biggest inflows were into ETFS Physical Gold (GOLD) which saw A$28.6 million. Largest outflows for the week were in Japanese and Australian based ETFs. BetaShares Australia 200 ETF (A200) had A$35.4 million in outflows and iShares MSCI Japan ETF (IJP) A$17.4 million in outflows. Year to date inflows remain strongest in Australian and international equities as well as gold.

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The conflicting challenges of retirement

Feb 11, 2020

To access the 'No retirement for investments' white paper, please click the download now button above. Important notice: a previous version of this whitepaper incorrectly stated the ASFA comfortable retirement standards for a couple as $43,787/year and superannuation balance of $545,000. These figures relate to the comfortable retirement standards of a single not a couple. The standards for a couple are $61,786/year and $640,000 in superannuation balance. Managing a retirement portfolio for income and growth Retirement portfolios offer a particular challenge in advice, given their more complex needs. They need to generate a stable income, preserve capital and still offer some level of growth to allow investors to manage inflation and longevity risks, along with a reasonable standard of lifestyle. In the paper No retirement for investments, ETF Securities considers how assets, portfolio construction and product selection can be used to manage retirement in the current market environment. You can download the full paper above, or read the summary following. Part of the solution comes down to diversification of the assets used for income. Retired investors have traditionally relied on domestic fixed income to support their yield needs but are now forced to consider other options. Fixed income can still play a role, for example, diversifying to international sources such as US fixed income which currently offers a higher interest rate may be part of the answer. Commonly, investors are being forced into riskier income approaches, such as through dividend streams. High yield equities may work for some retired investors, pending their risk tolerance along with overall portfolio construction. For example, they may consider how to offset the higher risks of high yield shares in other parts of their portfolio. Using alternatives in the form of commodities like gold may assist with offering stability and diversification to manage the volatility which could occur in high yield shares. Alternatively, looking to investments in more stable, less cyclical industries may be more suitable. Infrastructure is one option. It includes many essential services areas like utilities, telecommunications, industrials and transport which tend to be less vulnerable to market movements and cycles. Finally, product choice can be part of the solution to market conditions. Flexibility is important in this environment, but retired investors also need to be conscious of costs, risks and quality. Bearing these in mind, ETFs may be a suitable option due to characteristics such as low costs, ease of use, liquidity and a wide range to assist in meeting specific portfolio needs or gaps. For more information on the solutions ETF Securities offers, please contact us on: Sales Trading Phone +61 2 8311 3488 Email: infoAU@etfsecurities.com.au Phone +61 2 8311 3483 Email: primarymarkets@etfsecurities.com.au

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Three ways to manage a retirement portfolio

Feb 11, 2020

To access the 'No retirement for investments' white paper, please click the download now button above. Important notice: a previous version of this whitepaper incorrectly stated the ASFA comfortable retirement standards for a couple as $43,787/year and superannuation balance of $545,000. These figures relate to the comfortable retirement standards of a single not a couple. The standards for a couple are $61,786/year and $640,000 in superannuation balance. The duelling forces of retirement It is normal for retired investors to need to manage their portfolios for a stable income, a level of growth and capital protection, but current market conditions are making this particularly challenging. Faced with globally low interest rates on one hand as a threat to their income, and market volatility from geopolitics like corona virus and tensions in Iran affecting growth assets, how should retired investors manage their portfolios? ETF Securities recommends three options summarised below: product selection, income diversification and portfolio construction. You can read the full paper by downloading above. 1. Product Selection In retirement, investors need to be conscious of the quality, flexibility and costs of the products they use for their investments. One product type investors may consider are ETFs which hold characteristics such as lower costs compared to active funds, typically high liquidity allowing investors greater flexibility and are easy to use with less administration compared to shares or bonds. 2. Income diversification Investors have traditionally looked to Australian fixed income for their key yield option. In the current environment, they should consider diversifying their income,such as looking at fixed income internationally where there may be higher yields available or through dividend streams. Dividend streams can be a riskier option, and where some retired investors may use high yield shares and offset the risks in other ways, others can look to options in more stable, less cyclical industries like infrastructure. 3. Portfolio construction Retired investors should consider the overall construction of their portfolios and ensure they are diversified across assets and regions for growth and income, after all, the portfolio still needs to grow and support the lifespan. One area retired investors may wish to look at incorporating as part of the overall construction is alternatives, in the form of commodities like gold which can assist with stability and diversification. For more information on the solutions ETF Securities offers, please speak to your financial adviser or contact us on: Sales Trading Phone +61 2 8311 3488 Email: infoAU@etfsecurities.com.au Phone +61 2 8311 3483 Email: primarymarkets@etfsecurities.com.au

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