May 14, 2019
This week's highlights Global equity markets fell substantially last week as U.S. and China trade tensions escalated. Asia-focused ETFs were the hardest hit. The 10 worst performers for the week all included substantial Asian equity exposure, including iShares China Large-Cap (IZZ), VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC A-Share ETF (CETF) and iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF (IKO). Precious metals benefited from the risk-off sentiment with ETFS Physical Silver (ETPMAG) returning 1.3% for the week and gold funds (QAU, GOLD and PMGOLD) all amongst the top performers. Platinum also rallied. Domestic equities fared better, with resource sector (MVR) and property (MVA) funds posting positive returns for the week. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $83m, while outflows totalled $25m. The biggest inflows were into domestic equity ETFs (MVW and FAIR) and fixed income ETFs (AAA, CRED, HBRD and QPON). The biggest outflows for the week were from BetaShares Australia 200 ETF (A200) and international equity funds including IEU, IJH, FEMX and BNKS. STW and AAA were the most traded funds last week, while Magellan Global Equities Fund (MGE) saw above average volumes. ETFS Global Core Infrastructure ETF (CORE) posted a marginally positive return for the week and has now returned 8.8% year-to-date. It’s positive performance last week was despite a 30% allocation to Asia, demonstrating the important role of infrastructure assets in a portfolio and their ability to provide stability and aid diversification.
May 08, 2019
Product in Focus: TECH - ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF The tech sector has provided significant opportunities for growth investing in recent years Prudent technology investors should examine value and quality stocks TECH actively selects technology leaders that have a competitive advantage over other companies The portfolio contains 25 to 50 stocks from a global universe Technology Is On A Roll The Information Technology (IT) sector has contributed nearly 30%(1) of total global equity returns over the past 5 years. This is more than double the performance of the next best sector - consumer discretionary, which itself can attribute much of its performance to 'tech style' stocks such as Amazon. Although there have been speed bumps along this growth trajectory there is a consensus that the incorporation of technology into our daily lives and the subsequent growth of the companies behind this will continue for some time. The big-name FAANG stocks (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google) have sky-rocketed, with Apple and Amazon becoming the first two companies to top the US$1 trillion mark in 2018 and Microsoft recently achieving the same milestone. The Nasdaq 100 hit new all-time highs in April and to date has only posted a single negative week in 2019. As such, losses in the correction of the last quarter of 2018 have largely been recouped, but the volatility has not been forgotten by many. Questions, rightly, are being raised as to whether valuations are overblown, whether we are building towards a second tech bubble or, alternatively, whether the technology revolution is only just beginning. How Do you Navigate Stretched Valuations and Volatility? Exciting times lie ahead for technology companies, but it’s unlikely to be completely smooth sailing, with bouts of volatility always a possibility. Prudent technology investors should consider: Introducing ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF (ASX: TECH) ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF (TECH), which tracks the Morningstar Developed Markets Technology Moat Focus Index, was designed with this approach in mind. Here’s how its stock selection works to provide exposure to technology sector growth, while focusing on value, quality and diversification. ➢ Growth As a technology sector fund, TECH is by default highly exposed to growth as an investment factor. It is worth, however, clarifying exactly what constitutes a technology stock in this context. Relative to the well-known Nasdaq 100, this fund is less broad from a sector viewpoint, but broader on a regional basis. The Nasdaq 100, while highly technology exposed, is currently only about 45% invested in pure technology companies. TECH is therefore a more pure-play in terms of exposure to technology growth. Of the FAANG stocks TECH currently holds Apple, Google and Facebook. ➢ Value TECH benefits from research and analysis conducted by Morningstar’s extensive team of global equity analysts in assessing the fair value of eligible index constituents. Eligible companies are ranked according to their ratio of price/fair value and only the most undervalued companies are included in the Index. TECH currently holds positions in 31 companies, of which 20 are showing fair value above current market price (Chart 1). The weighted-average discount to fair value across the portfolio is 6.6% as at the end of April. This compares with a 5.5% weighted average premium to fair value across the Nasdaq 100(2). Further, companies that fall into the bottom 20% based on price momentum are screened out to ensure that the Index is not mistaking negative sentiment for value. ➢ Quality TECH invests only in quality companies and does this by screening firms according to their Morningstar Economic Moat Rating. An economic moat, as the name suggests, is something inherent in a company’s business model that defends its market position and cannot be easily replicated by competitors. It is the source of their competitive advantage and only well-established, high quality businesses achieve moat ratings. Wide Moat companies are the highest rated and are deemed able to maintain above average returns for the next 20 years. Narrow Moat companies are the next highest rated at should maintain excess returns for at least 10 years. TECH currently holds 12 Wide Moat companies including Adobe and Salesforce and 19 Narrow Moat companies including Computershare and LINE. ➢ Global Diversification The Index selects between 25 and 50 stocks from across global developed markets and equally weights them on a quarterly basis. Diversification benefits arise from the number of stocks chosen and the fact the they are drawn from an international universe. TECH currently holds stocks from the U.S., Japan and Australia. The equal weighting scheme is designed to both limit excessive exposure to the mega-cap names and to provide a greater opportunity for smaller companies to meaningfully contribute to performance. How has TECH performed? Chart 2 and Table 1, below, show the performance of TECH relative to a selection of prominent ETFs that offer technology-related exposures. These funds include Nasdaq 100 trackers listed in Australia and the U.S. (NDQ and QQQ respectively), a fund tracking the broad, market cap weighted S&P Global IT Sector Index (IXN) and the largest U.S. technology sector ETF (XLK). Returns are in Australian dollars and are net of fees. Since its inception on 7th April 2017, TECH has returned 30.1% p.a., which is 3.5% p.a. ahead of XLK and 6% p.a. ahead of the two Nasdaq 100 ETFs. Performance Without Taking More Risk Not only has it performed strongly, it has achieved its performance without taking undue levels of risk – it’s volatility since inception ranks fourth-lowest amongst the five funds shown. IXN, which holds close to 120 stocks compared to TECH’s 31 at present, has been about 1% p.a. less volatile. Performance During the Recent Market Correction Chart 3 shows the performance of the same five ETFs since the end of Q3 2018, which encompasses both the period of market volatility seen in the last quarter of the year and the subsequent recovery in 2019 to the end of April. Over that period TECH returned a total of 12.2%, which is more than double the return of the Nasdaq 100 funds and over 4% ahead of the next best performer, XLK. TECH’s maximum drawdown over the period from the end of September 2018 was 17.4%. This was almost 4% ahead of the next best fund, IXN, which dropped 21.4% over the period. In the recovery since Christmas, TECH returned 35.8%, which ranks second amongst the funds, behind only XLK, which rose 38.1% to the end of April. Summary The ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF (TECH) affords investors a simple solution to allocate assets to the technology sector in an intelligent way. This fund has been designed to provide pure exposure to the sector with stock selections seeking to choose a diversified portfolio of companies that have a competitive advantage over others operating in the field. Sources: 1 Bloomberg data as at 30 April 2019. The Information Technology sector contributed 13.2% of the 5-year total return of 46.4% of the iShares MSCI World ETF as a proxy for the global equity market. 2 Morningstar Direct as at 30 April 2019. Based on Morningstar analyst fair value ratings, which are available for 97.3% of the market capitalisation of the Nasdaq 100 index.
May 07, 2019
This week's highlights The best performers over the week were iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF (ITW) up 2.1% and UBS IQ MSCI Asia APREX 50 Ethical ETF (UBP) up 2%. The worst performers were dominated by miners, physical commodities and property. ETFS Physical Palladium ETF (ETPMPD) and BetaShares Global Gold Miners ETF (Hedged) (MNRS) were both down 4.7%. The SPDR S&P/ASX 200 Listed Property Fund (SLF) and VanEck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA) were both down -4.2%. Over twelve months ETFS Physical Palladium ETF (ETPMPD) remains the best performer with a return of 48.9%. ETFs tracking Morningstar’s moat focused index methodologies have also performed well. VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) has returned 29.7% and ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF (TECH) is up 29.1%. The market saw inflows of $116 Million over the week and outflows of $98 Million. The best flows for the week were seen by Australian based ETF offerings including, VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW), BetaShares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA) and BetaShares Australian Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (CRED). The biggest outflows were across BetaShares U.S. Dollar ETF (USD) and ETFS Physical Gold (GOLD). Looking closer at weekly, year to date and 12 month turnover. Australian focused strategies STW, VAS and AAA hold the top three rankings.
Apr 30, 2019
This week's highlights Equity markets rose last week on strong U.S. corporate earnings, particularly across technology, communication and consumer sectors. BetaShares Global Cybersecurity ETF (HACK) was the top performing fund for the week and ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF (TECH) was also amongst the top performers. Healthcare and biotechnology funds (IXJ, CURE and DRUG) also performed well. China ETFs (CNEW and CETF) declined as economic stimulus expectations receded. Precious metals all rose last week, with ETFS Physical Palladium ETF (ETPMPD) up 4.2%, while the broader commodity universe (QCB) fell. The US dollar rose amongst most majors, including a 1.5% gain against the Aussie. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $108m for the week, while outflows totalled $93m. The biggest inflows were into Australian fixed-income funds including BOND, IAF and AAA. Despite inflows into IOZ, S&P/ASX 200 (and similar) funds saw net outflows of close to $40m. STW and BOND were the most traded funds last week. ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF (TECH) has posted a strong 26.9% total return since the start of 2019, and is now close to 10% above its previous highs in September 2018.
Apr 24, 2019
This week's highlights Equity markets mostly rose last week on a strong start to the U.S. earnings season and positive economic data in both the U.S. and China. Financials had a strong week with domestic ETFs (MVB, OZF and QFN) and global fund BNKS all amongst the top performers. China and Taiwan ETFs (CETF and ITW) returned in excess of 2% for the week, while technology and industrial heavy robotics-focused funds, RBZT and ROBO also posted strong performances. VanEck Vectors China New Economy ETF (CNEW) is the top performing ETF in 2019-to-date, returning 39.1%. Resource sector funds (OZR and QRE) as well as global gold mining funds (MNRS and GDX) lagged for the week. Global healthcare sector ETFs (IXK, DRUG and CURE) were the poorest performers on investor concerns relating to U.S. drug pricing reforms. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $119m for the week, while outflows totalled $27m. The biggest inflows were into broad-based Australian and U.S. equity funds (STW and IVV). Fixed income funds also attracted significant attention with ILB, IAF, CRED, AAA and BNDS all seeing net asset growth. The biggest outflows for the week were from domestic cash (ISEC), leveraged domestic equities (GEAR) and Europe (IEU). STW and AAA were the most traded funds last week, while USD and VAF saw above average volumes. ETFS ROBO Global Robotics and Automation ETF (ROBO) has posted a strong 24.9% total return since the start of 2019, and is now close to surpassing its September 2018 highs prior to the sell-off and market volatility in Q4 last year.
Apr 16, 2019
This week's highlights The top performers for the week were dominated by Australian Property and Australian Equity Geared ETFs. The SPDR S&P/ASX 200 Listed Property Fund (SLF) was the best performer returning 2.3% closely followed by BetaShares Geared Australian Equity Fund (GEAR) which returned 2.2%. The worst performers over the week were Healthcare and Biotechnology ETFs. ETFS S&P Biotech ETF (CURE) was down 5.2% and the iShares Global Healthcare ETF (IXJ) was also down 3.4%. Looking slightly longer term. Year to date the best performers are now spread across Geared Equity, Oil and Chinese exposures. BetaShares Geared US Equity Fund - Ccy Hedged (GGUS) up 38.9%. The worst performers are strong bear equity funds. Over twelve months ETFS Physical Palladium (ETPMPD) remains the best performer returning 53.7%. The worst performer is BetaShares US Equities Strong Bear HF - Hedged (BBUS) down 25.3%. Inflows for the week totalled $213 million and outflows were $13 million. The inflows were dominated by three products, BetaShares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA), SPDR S&P/ASX 200 Fund (STW) and BetaShares Australian Bank Snr Floating Rate Bond ETF (QPON).