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Weekly ETF Monitor for week ending 2 August 2019

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Aug 06, 2019

This week's highlights Global equities declined last week despite the Fed’s first rate cut since 2008. Infrastructure and property ETFs (VBLD, VAP and MVA) were amongst the top performing equity funds, while Asia-Pac ETFs (IKO, IZZ, UBP and IAA) were the biggest decliners. In precious metal markets gold continued its strong run, while palladium saw a big drop. GOLD and PMGOLD both returned 3.2%, while gold mining ETF (GDX) topped the returns table for equity funds. Palladium fund ETPMPD fell 7.7%. The Australian dollar fell to US 68c. U.S. dollar ETFs (YANK, USD and ZUSD) were all amongst the weeks top performers. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $339m, while outflows totalled $12m. The biggest inflows were into cash (AAA) and broad-based equity funds (A200 and IVV). GOLD continues to attract strong flows, with over $75m of inflows since the beginning of June. AAA was the most traded fund last week, followed by domestic equity funds (VAS, STW and A200). GOLD traded well above its average volume. ETFS Global Core Infrastructure ETF (CORE) returned 1.2% for the week and is now up 15.1% year-to-date. CORE uses a dynamic, rules-based approach to stock selection, choosing the 75 least volatile infrastructure stocks globally on a quarterly basis.

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Weekly ETF Monitor for week ending 26 July 2019

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Jul 30, 2019

This week's highlights Global equities advanced last week as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 hit new all-time highs and the S&P/ASX 200 came close to doing likewise. Cyclical stocks outperformed, with ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF (TECH) topping the ETF performance charts. U.S. mid- and small-cap funds (IJH and IJR) and other tech-heavy funds including NDQ, HACK and ROBO followed. Global equity strategy funds including MGE and MOAT also posted strong weeks. Precious metal prices continued to rise ahead of the anticipated Fed rate cut this week. Platinum and silver were the biggest movers. Gold mining ETFs (MNRS and GDX) retreated. The Australian dollar fell below US 70c, driving unhedged ETFs higher. AUDS was the week’s poorest performing ETF, while YANK was amongst the top performers. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $307m, while outflows totalled $173m. The biggest inflows were into broad based domestic equity funds (A200 and IOZ), cash and fixed income funds (FLOT, QPON and AAA) and gold (GOLD). The largest outflows were from PLUS and STW. AAA was the most traded fund last week, while PLUS, QPON and FLOT all saw above average volumes as cash and fixed income funds dominated volumes. ETFS Morningstar Global Technology ETF (TECH) returned 5.0% for the week and is now up 29.9% year-to-date. Strong earnings from Google and across the semi-conductor industry propelled the sector higher. Morningstar’s moat methodology, which identifies quality companies with high levels of competitive advantage at attractive valuations, is used in TECH’s stock selection process.

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Weekly ETF Monitor for week ending 19 July 2019

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Jul 22, 2019

This week's highlights Global equities ended the week lower on ongoing geopolitical risks and mixed economic data. The Australian share market posted a modest gain, with small cap ETFs (SMLL and VSO) outperforming. Oil prices slumped on the prospect of easing U.S.-Iran tensions and demand concerns. OOO declined 7.5% for the week and global energy companies (FUEL) were also impacted. Technology heavy funds including NDQ and CNEW were also amongst the week’s poorest performers. Precious metals benefited from the risk-off sentiment, pushing higher. Spot gold added 0.7%, hitting new 6-year highs, while silver jumped 6.4%. ETPMAG was the week’s top performing ETF, while platinum (ETPMPT), gold (QAU and GOLD) and a basket of four precious metals (ETPMPM) were all amongst the top performers. Gold mining ETFs (MNRS and GDX) benefited, each adding over 6% for the week. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $199m, while outflows totalled $35m. The biggest inflows were into cash and fixed income funds (AAA, IAF, HBRD, CRED and ISEC). Gold (GOLD) also saw strong flows. The largest outflow was from UBA. STW and AAA were the most traded funds last week, while A200 and VHY saw above average volumes. ETFS Physical Silver (ETPMAG) returned 7.1% for the week and the metal is now trading at US$16.20 per ounce, over 14% above its May low. Silver has lagged gold in recent years, despite growing industrial demand from technology-related industries, with the closely-monitored gold-to-silver price ratio recently touching levels not seen since 1992.

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Weekly ETF Monitor for week ending 12 July 2019

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Jul 16, 2019

This week's highlights: Over the week BetaShares Crude Oil Index ETF - Ccy Hedged (OOO) returned 4.7% and BetaShares Commodities Basket ETF - Ccy Hedged (QCB) was up 2.5%. This resembled a strong trend as much of the top performers were hedged commodity products. The worst performers over the week were Robotics and Property ETFs. BetaShares Global Robotics and Artificial Intelligence ETF (RBTZ) ended the week down 3.5% and ETFS ROBO Global Robotics and Automation ETF (ROBO) was down 3.2%. YTD performance remains best among geared Australian and U.S. Equity funds with the worst performers conversely the Australian and U.S. bear funds. The best performers over the previous twelve months are ETFS Physical Palladium (ETPMPD) up 74.2% and VanEck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA) up 30.1%. Inflows for the week totalled $258 Million and outflows $107 Million. Notably SPDR S&P/ASX 200 Fund (STW) had outflows of $81.9 Million and BetaShares Australia 200 ETF (A200) had inflows of $60.5 Million. Cash, Bond and Gold ETFs also saw a steady inflows.

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Weekly ETF Monitor for week ending 5 July 2019

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Jul 09, 2019

This week's highlights The Australian share market rallied last week following the RBA’s 25 basis point rate cut. Property ETFs responded strongly, with MVA, VAP and SLF all amongst the top performers. Domestic equity income funds including DIV and EINC also performed strongly. The U.S. dollar gained ground following better than anticipated employment numbers on Friday, tempering expectations of a Fed rate cut this month. Currency funds AUDS, POU and EEU were amongst the worst performing ETFs for the week. ETFS Physical Gold (GOLD) pulled-back from its recent peak falling 0.8% for the week, while gold miners (MNRS) fell 1.0%. Crude oil (OOO) dipped 1.6% on global demand concerns. Total flows into domestically domiciled ETFs were $200m, while outflows totalled $40m. The biggest inflows were into defensive assets such as cash and fixed income/hybrid funds (AAA, IAF, HBRD and BILL) and gold (GOLD). The bulk of outflows were from STW. STW and AAA were the most traded fund last week, while VAP and MGE saw above average volumes. ETFS Physical Palladium (ETPMPD) returned 4.0% for the week and is up 75.2% over the past 12 months. Palladium has all-but recovered from its recent dip and could test all-time highs close to US$1,600 per ounce in the coming weeks.

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The Opportunity of India

Jul 09, 2019

Product in focus: ETFS Reliance India Nifty 50 ETF (ASX Code: NDIA) Key Points The Indian economy is primed to benefit from the structural reforms of the Modi government. Domestic consumption is powering 60% of Indian GDP. The average age in India is just 28 supplying a young and agile workforce that are increasingly connected. India is the world’s largest democracy, the sixth largest economy and has a population of 1.3 billion, 54 times the number of people in Australia for approximately the same land size. The nation is undergoing a rapid transformation that was truly initiated by the liberalisation of the economy beginning in 1991. Structural changes to the economy have been brought about in recent years by the Modi government aiding the significant growth seen today. The fundamental driver of this growth is the increase in domestic consumption throughout the nation. Structural Reform Key reforms initiated by Modi have begun the process of formalising India’s economy and created a better environment for business. This has been reflected in the World Bank’s ease of doing business ranking, India is now ranked 77th in the world and significantly, this represents an increase in 53 positions over two years. Contributors to this progress include the introduction of GST in mid-2017 which centralised 17 indirect taxes that were previously levied. 2017 also saw the sovereign credit rating upgraded one level by Moody’s, the first movement in this in 14 years. The evolution of the economy can be seen through the fundamental shift from the previous agrarian focus to the more service-based economy we see today. Consumption A 2019 report by the World Economic Forum identified domestic consumption as the key driver of India’s economy today, powering 60% of GDP. The report outlines five significant contributors to India’s growing consumption: 1. Income growth India is undergoing a transformation in wealth, it is projected that 25 million households will be lifted out of poverty by 2030, reducing the percentage of households in poverty from 15% today to less than 5%. This is introducing a huge expansion of the middle class and uptick in consumption of everyday items. 2. Urbanisation 40% of Indian’s will live in urban areas by 2030 as there is a steady migration from rural regions to cities and increased population density urbanises previously small towns. This movement is compounding the need for core infrastructure developments to cope with additional population pressures. 3. Demographic change India has a median age of just 28 years. This young and, comparatively, highly educated work force will remain young through to 2030 with an expected median age of 31 years. Compare this to the expected median age in Australia of 40 years and China at 42 years. (1) 4. Technology and innovation Indian’s have embraced the new digital age, and in many cases, they have leap-frogged many of those technologies that emerged during the dot-com bubble. 80% of Indian’s use their mobile as the primary platform for accessing the internet with the desktop computer bypassed completely. This has created a highly engaged and agile market who are adopting many of the new technologies the share economy has to offer. Rideshare company Ola, a strong rival to Uber, was valued at $6.2 billion in May 2019 and has set a goal to bring one million electric vehicles onto the roads by 2021. (2) Projections suggest there will be 1.1 billion internet users in India by 2030, with each representing further opportunities to extend consumption and engage with the new service-based economy. 5. Changing consumer attitudes As the Indian population has become wealthier and more connected, the core attitudes of consumers are also changing. The growing middle class has led to the emergence of sectors in the market that were previously very small, including dining out, personal hygiene, organic food, health and fitness. Opportunity Awaits The Nifty50 Index is primed to benefit from the structural reforms currently happening in India. Financials make up almost 40% of the Nifty50 and these companies will arguably benefit the most from recent changes. With the policy of demonetisation and the introduction of GST boosting their performance. The second biggest overall sector in the index is the consumer sector, making up about 17% of the index, which will also benefit from India’s growing middle class, household consumption and urbanisation. India’s overall economic growth has been driven through domestic consumption and the Nifty50 is no different, with the index constituents generating a significant portion of their revenue onshore, despite their large cap nature. As global volatility increases with the threat of trade wars and political uncertainty, India can rely on its domestic consumption to achieve the 7.5% forecast growth in 2020 (IMF, April 2019). 1 https://www.statista.com/statistics/260493/median-age-of-the-population-in-australia/ 2 https://www.financialexpress.com/industry/sme/indias-2nd-most-valuable-startup-ola-valuation-to-hit-6-2-billion-new-funding-proposal-by-hyundai-kia-motors-show/1565464/

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